By Courtney Spamer – AccuWeather
Nuri strengthened to a super typhoon Sunday morning, EDT, over the warm waters of the West Pacific and although it has since weakened to typhoon status the cyclone remains a threat to Japan.
A front moving through the East China Sea and across Japan over the weekend picked up the storm as it churned over the open waters of the Western Pacific. This interaction brought a drastic change in Nuri’s path.
After heading mostly westward over the past week, Nuri turned northward through the Philippine Sea remaining to the east and northeast of the Philippines over the weekend.
The weather will be nothing out of the ordinary across the Philippines early this week as Nuri continues to track northward, away from the country that is battered by numerous tropical cyclones each year.
Typhoon Nuri churning in the Western Pacific during its northerly track (NOAA)
Nuri developed on Halloween and quickly strengthened on Saturday into a typhoon. Favorable environmental conditions will keep Nuri a powerful typhoon through the middle of the week as it approaches Japan.
High pressure will briefly build north and east of Japan through Wednesday keeping Nuri on a general northward track.
The high will shift farther east on Thursday and Friday causing Nuri to turn more to the northeast, passing just east of Japan.
Even though the center of the storm will pass east of Japan, the core of heavy rain will pass very close to the eastern coast of Honshu.
If the band of heavy rain passes over eastern Honshu, the region including Tokyo could experience torrential rainfall capable of producing flash flooding and increasing the threat for mudslides in the region.
The strongest winds associated with Nuri will remain offshore, but the threat for locally damaging wind gusts is a possibility right near the east coast of Honshu as Nuri makes its closest approach on Thursday.
Meteorologists Eric Leister and Erik Pindrock contributed to this story.